Homework for Monday 2009.02.22

22. February 2009

ES- Below is a daily ES chart.  A week ago I drew the gray line we bounced off of on Friday.  This line is equidistant to blue line as the light-grey line is above the blue line.

The chart also shows a couple targets at 724 and 669.  However, we may see a return to 812, 826, or perhaps the ascending blue line in the 840's before getting there.   In a very weak market, we may not see 800 again before falling. 

 
 
 
As my mentor, Oscar (from LiveWithOscar.com) teaches, the DJ Transportation Average is the leader of the S&P.  It has a very similar pattern compared to the S&P, but is much clearer.  Below is the current daily Transportation chart.  After breaking through a horizontal support level at 2909, we made an equidistant move below as the most recent move above (two thin blue lines).  Will this level hold this upcoming week?  Will we return to the thick blue line or perhaps one of the ellipse levels (2913 or 3238)?
 

Homework, Lesson

Disclaimer

By downloading and using any of our studies, you agree to the following disclaimer:  
 
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading commodities can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  
 
In considering whether to trade or to authorize someone else to trade for you, you should be aware of the following:
  • If you purchase a commodity option, you may sustain a total loss of the premium and of all transaction costs.
  • If you purchase or sell a commodity future or sell a commodity option, you may sustain a total loss of the initial margin funds and any additional funds that you deposit with your broker to establish or maintain your position.
  • If the market moves against your position, you may be called upon by your broker to deposit a substantial amount of additional margin funds, on short notice, in order to maintain your position.
  • If you do not provide the requested funds within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated at a loss, and you will be liable for any resulting deficit in your account.
  • Under certain market conditions, you may find it difficult or impossible to liquidate a position. This can occur, for example, when the market makes a "limit move".
  • The placement of contingent orders by you or your trading advisor, such as a "stop-loss" or "stop-limit" order, will not necessarily limit your losses to the intended amounts, since market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.
  • The high degree of leverage that is often obtainable in commodity trading can work against you as well as for you. The use of leverage can lead to large losses as well as gains. This brief statement cannot disclose all the risks and other significant aspects of the commodity markets. Before you trade you should inquire about any rules relevant to your particular contemplated transactions and ask the firm with which you intend to trade for details about the types of redress available in both your local and other relevant jurisdictions.
 
 
neoTOOLBOX.com does not guarantee results, information, or EFS studies and scripts in any shape or form.