Market Update, 2009.07.07

7. July 2009
Comments (0)

ES Daily: Nice H&S formed in the ES.  Today's low hit the bottom of the neckline to the tick (5/18 low of 875.25)!  Time for the neckline to break. 

 

If we are starting the larger Elliot Wave 5 down, then this could be the beginning of it.  Wave 5 has five sub-waves.  If this is the case, we have witnessed wave 1 and wave 2 (nice 50%-61.8% ret of Wave 1) and are beginning wave 3.  Some Wave 3 targets are below.

 

The bullish argument is that the recent pullback is merely the Wave 4 of the the five waves up.  If so (assuming we rise from here), some targets of Wave 5 is 1055 to 1167.  See below. 


 
Also note that this 1055 area also cooresponds with the 50% retracement of "wave 3" (on the ES Weekly), as shown below.
 
 
 

Lesson

Disclaimer

By downloading and using any of our studies, you agree to the following disclaimer:  
 
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading commodities can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  
 
In considering whether to trade or to authorize someone else to trade for you, you should be aware of the following:
  • If you purchase a commodity option, you may sustain a total loss of the premium and of all transaction costs.
  • If you purchase or sell a commodity future or sell a commodity option, you may sustain a total loss of the initial margin funds and any additional funds that you deposit with your broker to establish or maintain your position.
  • If the market moves against your position, you may be called upon by your broker to deposit a substantial amount of additional margin funds, on short notice, in order to maintain your position.
  • If you do not provide the requested funds within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated at a loss, and you will be liable for any resulting deficit in your account.
  • Under certain market conditions, you may find it difficult or impossible to liquidate a position. This can occur, for example, when the market makes a "limit move".
  • The placement of contingent orders by you or your trading advisor, such as a "stop-loss" or "stop-limit" order, will not necessarily limit your losses to the intended amounts, since market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.
  • The high degree of leverage that is often obtainable in commodity trading can work against you as well as for you. The use of leverage can lead to large losses as well as gains. This brief statement cannot disclose all the risks and other significant aspects of the commodity markets. Before you trade you should inquire about any rules relevant to your particular contemplated transactions and ask the firm with which you intend to trade for details about the types of redress available in both your local and other relevant jurisdictions.
 
 
neoTOOLBOX.com does not guarantee results, information, or EFS studies and scripts in any shape or form.